MasterPiano Research, report 1

The hardest bars in popular piano pieces

In the 50 most-played pieces on MasterPiano, the hardest bar had a median of 1.5 times the error rate of the rest of the same piece, across 1.27 million notes played by 2,022 pianists from May 2 to October 5, 2026. The biggest standout is bar 15 of Jingle Bells: 22.9% of notes wrong or missed, against 7.7% in the rest of the piece.

By MasterPiano Research · Published October 6, 2026

MasterPiano is a piano practice app, and this report uses its own players’ data: anonymized and aggregated, with at least 50 players behind every number. No one’s individual playing is shown.

Pianists
2,022
May 2 to October 5, 2026
Notes scored
1.27M
32,455 sessions
Pieces
50
605 bars with 50+ players
Hardest bar vs the rest
1.5x
median error rate

Key findings

  1. Most popular pieces have one bar that trips players. In 39 of 50 pieces the hardest bar stands clearly above the rest, and in 8 it runs at twice the error rate or more. Two random halves of the players found the same bar in 32 pieces, against about 5 expected by chance.
  2. Leaps stand out. 24% of the hardest bars contain a leap of a fourth or more in one hand, against 15% of other bars. In 26 of the 30 pieces with both kinds of bar, the bars with a leap were harder on average.
  3. So do bars where a repeat changes. Where a passage heard earlier comes back note for note and then goes somewhere new, the error rate ran 3.7 points further above the rest of the piece than in other bars. It is the hardest bar of both Jingle Bells arrangements.

One bar per piece carries the trouble

Most of the pieces people play most on MasterPiano are short: folk songs, carols and simplified classics of 8 to 16 bars. They look even. The data says they are not. In the median piece, players’ error rate in the hardest bar was 1.5 times their rate in every other bar, and in 26 of 50 pieces it was at least 1.5 times.

The hard spot also survives a change of arrangement. In the level 8 Jingle Bells and the level 1 “I Can Play Jingle Bells”, played by different groups of people, bar 15 is the hardest (3.0x and 2.1x the rest of the piece). Two Yankee Doodle arrangements, at levels 5 and 1, both peak at bar 7.

The hardest bar against the rest of the piece, 20 most-played pieces

Each row compares the same players: their error rate in the piece's hardest bar and in every other bar.

  • Hardest bar
  • Rest of the piece, same players
Error rate in the hardest bar compared with the rest of the piece20 of the most-played pieces on MasterPiano, sorted by how many times harder their hardest bar is. Jingle Bells (Easy arrangement): bar 15 at 22.9% of notes wrong or missed, against 7.7% in the rest of the piece.Jingle Bells (Easy arrangement), bar 15: 22.9% of notes wrong or missed, against 7.7% in the rest of the piece (128 players).Jingle Bells (Easy arrangement) · Bar 153.0xYankee Doodle (Easy arrangement), bar 7: 21.4% of notes wrong or missed, against 9.8% in the rest of the piece (132 players).Yankee Doodle (Easy arrangement) (level 1) · Bar 72.2xYankee Doodle (Easy arrangement), bar 7: 21.9% of notes wrong or missed, against 11.0% in the rest of the piece (316 players).Yankee Doodle (Easy arrangement) (level 5) · Bar 72.0xFra Martino (Easy arrangement), bar 7: 20.8% of notes wrong or missed, against 11.0% in the rest of the piece (115 players).Fra Martino (Easy arrangement) · Bar 71.9xRain Rain Go Away (Easy arrangement), bar 8: 21.0% of notes wrong or missed, against 11.7% in the rest of the piece (188 players).Rain Rain Go Away (Easy arrangement) · Bar 81.8xChopsticks (Simplified), bar 7: 18.0% of notes wrong or missed, against 10.3% in the rest of the piece (150 players).Chopsticks (Simplified) · Bar 71.8xMary Had a Little Lamb (Easy arrangement), bar 4: 19.2% of notes wrong or missed, against 11.8% in the rest of the piece (324 players).Mary Had a Little Lamb (Easy arrangement) · Bar 41.6xTwinkle Twinkle Little Star (Easy arrangement), bar 1: 18.2% of notes wrong or missed, against 11.6% in the rest of the piece (159 players).Twinkle Twinkle Little Star (Easy arrangement) · Bar 11.6xClocktower Chimes, bar 2: 15.6% of notes wrong or missed, against 10.0% in the rest of the piece (118 players).Clocktower Chimes · Bar 21.6xHush Little Baby (Easy arrangement), bar 1: 15.9% of notes wrong or missed, against 10.3% in the rest of the piece (190 players).Hush Little Baby (Easy arrangement) · Bar 11.5xGo Tell Aunt Rhody (Easy arrangement), bar 3: 19.8% of notes wrong or missed, against 13.0% in the rest of the piece (315 players).Go Tell Aunt Rhody (Easy arrangement) (level 1) · Bar 31.5xGo Tell Aunt Rhody (Easy arrangement), bar 3: 16.7% of notes wrong or missed, against 11.1% in the rest of the piece (265 players).Go Tell Aunt Rhody (Easy arrangement) (level 1) · Bar 31.5xIf You're Jazzy and You Know It, bar 3: 15.4% of notes wrong or missed, against 10.5% in the rest of the piece (135 players).If You're Jazzy and You Know It · Bar 31.5xParallel Motion Duet, bar 9: 15.7% of notes wrong or missed, against 10.8% in the rest of the piece (131 players).Parallel Motion Duet · Bar 91.4xEarly Morning, bar 6: 16.6% of notes wrong or missed, against 12.1% in the rest of the piece (224 players).Early Morning · Bar 61.4xHallelujah (Easy arrangement, excerpt), bar 7: 13.6% of notes wrong or missed, against 9.9% in the rest of the piece (191 players).Hallelujah (Easy arrangement, excerpt) · Bar 71.4xMerrily We Roll Along (Easy arrangement), bar 1: 9.8% of notes wrong or missed, against 8.1% in the rest of the piece (264 players).Merrily We Roll Along (Easy arrangement) · Bar 11.2xOde to Joy from Symphony No. 9, Op. 125 (Easy arrangement, excerpt), bar 4: 16.5% of notes wrong or missed, against 13.6% in the rest of the piece (1,574 players).Ode to Joy from Symphony No. 9, Op. 125 (Easy arrangement, excerpt) · Bar 41.2xA British Tune, bar 5: 14.9% of notes wrong or missed, against 12.7% in the rest of the piece (253 players).A British Tune · Bar 51.2xHappy Birthday (Easy arrangement), bar 9: 20.2% of notes wrong or missed, against 17.5% in the rest of the piece (190 players).Happy Birthday (Easy arrangement) · Bar 91.1x0%10%20%30%

Share of notes played wrong or missed. The number on the right is how many times higher the hardest bar runs than the rest of the piece.

Source: MasterPiano Research, May 2 to October 5, 2026

Is the hardest bar just noise? We split the players of each piece into two random halves and looked for the hardest bar in each half separately. Both halves picked the same bar in 32 of 50 pieces. If all bars were equally hard, that would happen in about 5.

What the hardest bars have in common

We read the notes of every bar from the public score of each piece and tested eight traits. For each, we compared how often it appears in the hardest bars (49 with readable notes) and in all 550 other bars, and checked within each piece whether bars with the trait were harder than bars without it.

How often each trait appears in the hardest bars

Eight traits we tested, in the hardest bar of each piece and in every other bar with at least 50 players.

  • Hardest bars (49)
  • All other bars (550)
How often each trait appears in the hardest bars and in other barsA repeated passage changes: 10% of hardest bars, 5% of other bars. Leap of a fourth or more: 24% of hardest bars, 15% of other bars. Opening bar: 16% of hardest bars, 7% of other bars. Final bar: 4% of hardest bars, 8% of other bars. More notes than the average bar: 61% of hardest bars, 52% of other bars. Both hands play: 43% of hardest bars, 35% of other bars. Dotted note: 12% of hardest bars, 20% of other bars. Sharp, flat or natural sign: 2% of hardest bars, 3% of other bars.A repeated passage changesA repeated passage changes: 5 of 49 hardest bars (10.2%).10%A repeated passage changes: 26 of 550 other bars (4.7%).5%Leap of a fourth or moreLeap of a fourth or more: 12 of 49 hardest bars (24.5%).24%Leap of a fourth or more: 83 of 550 other bars (15.1%).15%Opening barOpening bar: 8 of 49 hardest bars (16.3%).16%Opening bar: 41 of 550 other bars (7.4%).7%Final barFinal bar: 2 of 49 hardest bars (4.1%).4%Final bar: 44 of 550 other bars (8.0%).8%More notes than the average barMore notes than the average bar: 30 of 49 hardest bars (61.2%).61%More notes than the average bar: 286 of 550 other bars (52.0%).52%Both hands playBoth hands play: 21 of 49 hardest bars (42.9%).43%Both hands play: 191 of 550 other bars (34.7%).35%Dotted noteDotted note: 6 of 49 hardest bars (12.2%).12%Dotted note: 112 of 550 other bars (20.4%).20%Sharp, flat or natural signSharp, flat or natural sign: 1 of 49 hardest bars (2.0%).2%Sharp, flat or natural sign: 14 of 550 other bars (2.5%).3%0%20%40%60%80%

Share of bars with each trait, read from the public score of each piece.

Source: MasterPiano Research, May 2 to October 5, 2026

Leaps of a fourth or more

A leap here is a jump of five semitones or more between two notes in the same hand: a fourth, a fifth or wider. These bars make up 24% of the hardest bars and 15% of the rest. The pattern holds inside pieces too: in 26 of the 30 pieces that have bars with and without a leap, the bars with one were harder on average.

The bar where a repeat changes

Many simple tunes repeat a phrase and then change its ending. We flagged a bar when the two bars before it match an earlier passage note for note, but the bar itself does not continue the way it did the first time. Only 31 bars do this, yet 5 of them are the hardest bar of their piece, including Jingle Bells bar 15, Hänschen Klein bar 7 (1.8x) and Deck the Halls bar 7. On average their error rate ran 3.7 points further above the rest of the piece than other bars, and they were the harder bars in 13 of the 19 pieces that have one.

This fits an older finding. When the music psychologist John Sloboda gave pianists scores with deliberately altered notes, they often played the notes they expected instead of the notes printed (Sloboda, 1976). Our data cannot show why players slip at these bars, only that they do.

Jingle Bells (Easy arrangement), bar by bar

Bars 9 to 14 repeat bars 1 to 6 note for note. Bar 15 is the first bar of the second half that changes, and it runs at three times the error rate of the rest of the piece.

  • Bar 15 (hardest)
  • Other bars
  • Rest of the piece, same players as bar 15: 7.7%
Jingle Bells (Easy arrangement), error rate bar by barShare of notes played wrong or missed in each bar of Jingle Bells (Easy arrangement) by 134 players. Bar 15 peaks at 22.9%; the same 128 players miss or play wrong 7.7% of notes in the rest of the piece.0%5%10%15%20%25%Bar 1: 8.7% of notes wrong or missed (134 players).1Bar 2: 5.4% of notes wrong or missed (134 players).2Bar 3: 13.2% of notes wrong or missed (134 players).3Bar 4: 9.8% of notes wrong or missed (133 players).4Bar 5: 7.8% of notes wrong or missed (132 players).5Bar 6: 9.9% of notes wrong or missed (132 players).6Bar 7: 10.3% of notes wrong or missed (130 players).7Bar 8: 16.2% of notes wrong or missed (130 players).8Bar 9: 7.0% of notes wrong or missed (129 players).9Bar 10: 2.7% of notes wrong or missed (129 players).10Bar 11: 7.2% of notes wrong or missed (129 players).11Bar 12: 4.9% of notes wrong or missed (128 players).12Bar 13: 4.5% of notes wrong or missed (128 players).13Bar 14: 6.6% of notes wrong or missed (128 players).14Bar 15: 22.9% of notes wrong or missed (128 players).1522.9%Bar 16: 5.8% of notes wrong or missed (128 players).16

Each column is the share of notes played wrong or missed in that bar (numbered below), averaged over its players. The line is the same 128 players who played bar 15, measured over every other bar of the piece with each player counted once: the comparison behind every “rest of the piece” figure in this report.

Source: MasterPiano Research, May 2 to October 5, 2026

Weaker or no patterns

Bars with more notes than their piece’s average lean the same way, but weakly: they are 61% of the hardest bars and 52% of the rest, and their gap above the rest of the piece is only 1.3 points larger. Dotted notes (12% against 20%) and both hands playing (43% against 35%) show no consistent effect. The opening bar is the hardest in 8 pieces, the final bar in only 2. Sharps, flats and naturals are too rare in these mostly beginner pieces to judge: 15 of 599 bars have one.

All 50 pieces and their hardest bar

Select a piece to open its free sheet music and find the bar.

Download CSV

Swipe the table sideways to see every column.

Pieces ranked by players. Error rate is the share of notes played wrong or missed. Rest of piece is the same players’ rate in every other bar. An asterisk marks a bar that is not a clear standout: the 95% interval of its gap includes zero.
#PiecePlayersHardest barError rateRest of pieceTimes harderBar playersIn the bar
1Ode to Joy from Symphony No. 9, Op. 125 (Easy arrangement, excerpt)Ludwig van Beethoven · level 11,646Bar 416.5%13.6%1.2x1,574
2Yankee Doodle (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 5329Bar 721.9%11.0%2.0x316More notes
3Mary Had a Little Lamb (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 1327Bar 419.2%11.8%1.6x324
4Go Tell Aunt Rhody (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 1323Bar 319.8%13.0%1.5x315More notes
5Merrily We Roll Along (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 1266Bar 19.8%8.1%1.2x*264Opening barMore notes
6Go Tell Aunt Rhody (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 1265Bar 316.7%11.1%1.5x265More notes
7A British TuneTraditional · level 2258Bar 514.9%12.7%1.2x*253More notes
8Early MorningGreg Genter · level 1227Bar 616.6%12.1%1.4x224
9Rain Rain Go Away (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 7206Bar 821.0%11.7%1.8x188Final bar
10Hallelujah (Easy arrangement, excerpt)George Frideric Handel · level 4199Bar 713.6%9.9%1.4x191More notes
11Happy Birthday (Easy arrangement)Mildred J. Hill · level 3198Bar 920.2%17.5%1.1x190More notes
12Hush Little Baby (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 7193Bar 115.9%10.3%1.5x190Opening barMore notesBoth hands
13Twinkle Twinkle Little Star (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 6159Bar 118.2%11.6%1.6x159LeapOpening barMore notes
14Chopsticks (Simplified)Euphemia Allen · level 1156Bar 718.0%10.3%1.8x150More notesBoth hands
15Parallel Motion DuetBéla Bartók · level 8147Bar 915.7%10.8%1.4x131Both hands
16If You're Jazzy and You Know ItTraditional · level 7135Bar 315.4%10.5%1.5x135LeapBoth handsDotted note
17Jingle Bells (Easy arrangement)James Lord Pierpont · level 8134Bar 1522.9%7.7%3.0x128Repeat changesMore notes
18Yankee Doodle (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 1132Bar 721.4%9.8%2.2x132More notes
19Clocktower ChimesTraditional · level 8118Bar 215.6%10.0%1.6x118LeapDotted noteAccidental
20Fra Martino (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 3116Bar 720.8%11.0%1.9x115Leap
21Yankee Doodle (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 3111Bar 220.0%11.6%1.7x111More notesBoth hands
22We Three Kings (Easy arrangement)John Henry Hopkins Jr. · level 8110Bar 215.6%11.5%1.4x109
23In an Old CastleFerdinand Beyer · level 9103Bar 422.0%14.7%1.5x102Both hands
24Jingle Bells (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 1100Bar 1523.9%11.2%2.1x100Repeat changesMore notes
25In an Old Castle (Excerpt)Ferdinand Beyer · level 7100Bar 721.1%12.8%1.6x98LeapMore notesBoth hands
26Symphony No. 9 “From the New World”, Op. 95: II. Largo (Easy arrangement, excerpt)Antonin Dvorak · level 597Bar 212.6%10.4%1.2x*97
27The Bear Went Over the Mountain (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 1396Bar 1214.5%10.7%1.4x*91LeapBoth handsDotted note
28Lavender's Blue (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 595Bar 323.7%10.0%2.4x95Leap
29Dear Angel Ever at My Side (Easy arrangement)Vincent Novello · level 1192Bar 228.8%19.7%1.5x92More notes
30Lightly Row (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 691Bar 124.0%10.0%2.4x90Opening barBoth hands
31Unison StudyCornelius Gurlitt · level 890Bar 327.5%16.6%1.6x89LeapBoth hands
32Iron HorseTraditional · level 387Bar 513.5%8.1%1.7x86LeapMore notesBoth hands
33Morning Mood (Easy arrangement, excerpt)Edvard Grieg · level 1587Bar 625.3%18.7%1.4x79LeapMore notesBoth handsDotted note
34Li'l Liza Jane (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 385Bar 614.0%10.4%1.3x85More notes
35For He's a Jolly Good Fellow (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 1484Bar 715.3%9.6%1.6x84More notesBoth handsDotted note
36Canon in D (Piano arrangement)Johann Pachelbel · level 3681Bar 1934.8%32.6%1.1x*50LeapBoth hands
37Tetris Theme (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 881Bar 1025.2%22.0%1.1x*77More notes
38Etude in CCarl Czerny · level 977Bar 1517.5%14.4%1.2x76Repeat changesMore notesBoth hands
39Deck the Halls (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 1274Bar 718.4%11.5%1.6x73Repeat changesLeapMore notesBoth handsDotted note
40Hänschen klein (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 573Bar 717.0%9.3%1.8x73Repeat changesMore notes
41Joy to the World (Easy arrangement)George Frideric Handel · level 1273Bar 2115.3%7.9%1.9x72
42Michael Finnegan (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 873Bar 522.9%8.8%2.6x73More notesBoth hands
43Open Shut Them (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 273Bar 119.5%13.9%1.4x73Opening barMore notesBoth hands
44Waltz in A minor, B. 150Frédéric Chopin · level 3472Bar 132.1%33.9%0.9x*69Opening bar
45Imagine (Easy arrangement)John Lennon · level 1169Bar 2921.1%10.5%2.0x53Final bar
46It's a Small World (Easy arrangement)Richard M. Sherman · level 1067Bar 1333.7%15.2%2.2x64
47Twinkle Twinkle Little Star (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 167Bar 112.6%10.3%1.2x*67Opening barMore notesBoth hands
48A Whole New World (Easy arrangement)Alan Menken · level 2166Bar 129.1%24.3%1.2x*58Opening barMore notes
49Lightly Row (Easy arrangement)Traditional · level 566Bar 718.5%14.9%1.2x*65More notesBoth hands
50Happy Birthday to You (Easy arrangement)Mildred J. Hill · level 1265Bar 317.4%13.5%1.3x*62More notesBoth hands

What this means when you practice

  • Expect one bar, not the whole piece, to cause most of the trouble. Find it early and give it its own practice.
  • When a tune repeats, read the score again where the repeat changes instead of playing on from memory.
  • Before a leap of a fourth or more, look ahead and find the landing note before you need it.

These are suggestions that follow from the data. The data shows where players slip, not which practice method fixes it.

Method

Data
Every note scored by MasterPiano from May 2 to October 5, 2026, the period in which the app has recorded results bar by bar. Notes came from MIDI keyboards (88% of sessions), the microphone (8%) and the computer or on-screen keyboard (3%). 79% of sessions were in practice mode, where the app waits for the right note; the rest were played in time.
Who and what is left out
MasterPiano team, test and demo accounts. Private uploads, hidden pieces and sections of longer pieces: only public sheet pages count. Generated sight-reading exercises, which are drills rather than pieces. A few pieces with dated racial titles are left out.
Thresholds
A piece needs at least 50 distinct players, and so does every bar we report or compare. 69 of the 1,168 public pieces played in the period passed; this report covers the 50 with the most players.
Error rate
Wrong notes plus missed notes, divided by all scored notes (right, wrong and missed): 100% minus the accuracy the app shows. A wrong key pressed while the app waits for the right note counts as a wrong note.
Hardest bar
For every player who played a bar and at least one other bar of the piece, we took their error rate in the bar and in the rest of the piece, then averaged over players, so each person counts once however often they played. The hardest bar is the one with the largest average gap. A bar is a clear standout when the 95% confidence interval of that gap stays above zero (39 of 50). Bars are printed bar numbers; a pickup is bar 0 and repeats count as the same bar.
Bar traits
Read from each piece’s MusicXML score. A leap is five semitones or more between consecutive notes in one hand. A repeat change is a bar whose two preceding bars match an earlier passage note for note while the bar itself differs from the earlier one. The notes of 6 of 605 bars could not be matched to the score.
Limits
MasterPiano players are not a random sample of pianists, and most of these pieces are short beginner arrangements, so the results may differ for advanced repertoire. Microphone input can mishear a note; comparing each bar with the same players’ other bars limits the effect, but does not remove it. Traits were tested on 599 bars, so treat small differences with care.

Use this data

The table is free to download as a CSV and each chart has an embed code. Both are shared under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license: please credit MasterPiano Research with a link to this page.

Suggested citation

MasterPiano Research (2026). The hardest bars in popular piano pieces. https://www.masterpiano.com/research/hardest-bars-in-popular-piano-pieces

Questions

What is the hardest bar in Jingle Bells on piano?

Bar 15. In MasterPiano's data, 128 players got 22.9% of the notes in bar 15 wrong or missed, against 7.7% in the rest of the piece. A separate beginner arrangement peaks at the same bar. Bar 15 is where the second half of the tune first departs from the first half.

What makes one bar of a piano piece harder than the others?

In the 50 pieces we measured, two traits stood out: a leap of a fourth or more in one hand, and a bar where a passage heard earlier changes. Having more notes than the average bar showed only a weak link, and a dotted note or both hands playing showed no consistent one.

How did MasterPiano measure the hardest bar?

MasterPiano scores every note a player plays against the score. For each player who played a bar and the rest of the piece, we compared their share of wrong or missed notes in that bar with the rest of the piece, then averaged across players. The hardest bar is the one where players went furthest above their own rest-of-piece rate. Every bar reported has at least 50 players behind it.

Can I use this data?

Yes. The table is free to download as a CSV and the charts can be embedded. Please credit MasterPiano Research with a link to this report. The data is shared under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license.

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